CFB Football Betting: Georgia at Georgia Tech

Here’s something else that hasn’t changed since last season. Georgia Tech is a talented though maddeningly inconsistent team that has spent much of the season falling far short of their potential. We’re aware that the visiting team in the Bulldogs/Yellow Jackets matchup is on a 13-3-1 ATS run. The dynamic of this year’s game is completely different, however, and the Jackets have a good chance to get a win back from their in state rivals. No team has been devastated by injuries more than these Bulldogs and to their credit they continued to soldier on through all of the adversity to compile a 7-4 record. They’ve not performed as well against the pointspread going 2-8-1 including a 2-7 ATS mark as a favorite. Tech is just 5-6 ATS but they’ve been excellent in Atlanta going 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS. No matter how you slice the Georgia ATS record it suggests that this team is overvalued relative to the perception of the betting public: Dawgs are 0-3 ATS against non-conference foes this year, 0-4 ATS on the road and 0-4 ATS against opponents with winning records.

In all fairness, Tech hasn’t covered against an opponent with a record over .500 this year either (0-5 ATS) but is a much healthier team than Georgia who lost starting quarterback Aaron Murray in their previous game. Had there been more to play for—an SEC title, for example—the Dawgs might have been able to circle the wagons and win without him. With the big goals they had at the start of this season all gone—there was even talk of a BCS Title run—don’t trust the Georgia mindset. At best the Georgia Tech option is a tough tactical matchup and against a dispirited and injury riddled Georgia team it’ll be fatal. Georgia Tech has been Georgia’s ‘whipping boy’ for much of the past two decades. The Bulldogs are on a 17-4 SU run in head to head play and have won and covered 9 of the last 10 in Atlanta. A win over the Bulldogs can make this rather ho-hum season for the Yellow Jackets a memorable one and given the Georgia injury issues there’s no reason they can’t get it.

BET GEORGIA TECH +3′ OVER GEORGIA